South Asia’s October–December rainfall outlook shows substantial regional differences, according to the South Asian Climate Outlook Forum.

WMO reported that normal to above-normal rainfall was likely across northwestern South Asia and parts of the east and south, including island nations.

Below-normal rainfall was favoured across much of central and southern peninsular South Asia and some eastern areas.

Maximum and minimum temperatures were expected to be normal to above normal across most of the region.

The outlook covers Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka.

Seasonal rainfall is particularly important for agricultural activity in southern India, Sri Lanka and Maldives during this period. The regional guidance describes broad probabilities and should be interpreted alongside more detailed national forecasts.